Safety evaluation of water resources-eco-economic complex system in Manas
River Basin
Author information+
Xinjiang Bingtuan Key Laborartory of Modern Water Saving Irrigation, College of Water Conservancy, and Architectural
Engineering Shihezi University, Shihezi Xinjiang, 832000, China
The safety evaluation of water resources- e co- economic complex system evaluation and analysis involves interactive
relationship between regional water resources, ecological and socio- economic systems. The safety evaluation of water resources- eco- economic complex system plays an important role in regional scale of development, resource development and ecological protection, and
provides a scientific basis for regional sustainable and coordinated development. In view of the Manas River Basin in Xinjiang, this
paper combines the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the principle of diminishing marginal benefit to evaluate the safety of the
water resources- eco- economic complex system. The results show that the weights of water resources, economic and ecological
subsystems in the Manas River Basin are 0.64, 0.26 and 0.10 respectively. The article selected 10 indicators, the weight in the top six
is the amount of water resources per capita (weight 0.41), water resources development and utilization rate (weight 0.15), per capita GDP
(weight 0.11), urbanization rate (weight 0.08), per capita daily living water consumption (weight 0.08), ecological environment water use
rate (weight 0.07). According to the principle of diminishing marginal benefit, a linear model was constructed to calculate the safety
evaluation index of the water resources- eco- economic, complex system in the Manas River Basin, the system was in a poor security
state in 2000- 2015, but it showed a trend of gradual security, the safety evaluation index increased from 0.32 in 2000 to 0.41 in 2015.
Li Pengfei, Yang Guang, Li Xiaolong, Yang Mingjie, Chen Dong, Wang Jie.
Safety evaluation of water resources-eco-economic complex system in Manas
River Basin. Journal of Shihezi University. 2018, 36(1): 95-101 https://doi.org/10.13880/j.cnki.65- 1174/n.2018.01.018
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